Institute for Research on Economics and Society – Faculty of Economics and Business – University of Indonesia

April inflation
Year-on-year (YoY) inflation in March 2025 was reported at 1,03% or lower compared to annual inflation in March 2024 which reached 3,05%. Furthermore, this month's inflation value was also higher than the previous month, February 2025 which reached -0,09%. The decrease in YoY inflation in March 2025 compared to February 2025 was driven by a decrease in prices in...
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trump employment
The reciprocal tariff policy imposed by the United States poses a real risk to employment in Indonesia, especially in export-oriented labor-intensive sectors such as textiles and footwear. These two sectors not only contribute a significant portion of manufacturing exports, but also absorb a large number of workers, especially young, low-educated, and casual workers, who are...
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women job vacancies
Women's participation in the labor market is no longer a side issue, but rather the core of inclusive economic development. Although women's participation has increased slowly over the past decade, the gender gap in Indonesia's labor market remains quite high, with women's participation far below men's on average. The 2023 Sakernas data revealed that Indonesian women face various structural challenges such as limited...
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March interest rate
Indonesia experienced deflation of 0,09% (yoy) in February 2025, below Bank Indonesia's target range of 1,5%-3,5%, mainly due to electricity tariff adjustments. Core inflation remained stable, indicating that the decline was not driven by weakening demand. Inflationary pressures are expected to increase in the coming months as demand increases during the fasting month and subsidies end...
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Year-on-year (YoY) inflation in February 2025 was reported at -0,09% or lower compared to annual inflation in February 2024 which reached 2,75%. Furthermore, this month's inflation rate was also lower than the previous month, January 2025 which was 0,76%. The decrease in YoY inflation in February 2025 compared to January 2025 was driven by a decrease in prices in...
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February Interest Rate
Headline inflation in January 2025 was recorded at 0,76% (yoy), its lowest level since 2000 and below BI's target range. This was largely influenced by electricity tariff discounts of up to 50% for certain household groups. Last month, the Fed, in line with market expectations, kept its benchmark interest rate on hold and Bank Indonesia inadvertently...
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economic outlook q1
Indonesia enters 2025 with a weakening economy. Declining purchasing power, a shrinking middle class, and a prolonged decline in sectoral productivity provide clear signals of significant structural problems, as reflected in economic growth figures throughout 2024. Q2024 2024 is the only quarter in XNUMX that does not have a seasonal factor...
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