Institute for Research on Economics and Society – Faculty of Economics and Business – University of Indonesia

MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS SERIES: Indonesia Economic Outlook Q1-2024

February 6, 2024

Inflation February 2024

Indonesia is in dire need of new engines of growth. This is clearly shown by economic growth performance that is highly dependent on business cycle and commodity prices. Following the moderation of commodity prices and the passing of holiday season in the previous quarter, Indonesia's GDP only grew by 4.94% (yoy) in Q3-2023 and registered as the lowest quarterly growth since Q4-2016 (excluding Covid-19 period of 2020 and 2021). In addition, Indonesia is aspiring to become a high-income country by 2045 and it necessitates the economy to grow substantially beyond the current level. To achieve this, reindustrialization and significant productivity improvement are required. However, the process of reindustrialization and productivity improvement is a medium- to long-term process due to its structural nature in the economy. Therefore, structural reform needs to be carried on and keep being policymaker's priority. The upcoming general election will result in the new administration taking office and next administration should not lose focus on the issue of productivity and reindustrialization.

Download (PDF, 550KB)

Latest Publications

BI Board of Governors Meeting, April 2025 – Macroeconomic Analysis Series

April 23, 2025

MSME Resilience in the Face of COVID-19 and Beyond: A Meta-Analysis of Factors that Influence MSME Resilience

April 14, 2025

Monthly Inflation, April 2025 : Macroeconomic Analysis Series

April 10, 2025

Indonesia’s Employment Risks in the Shadow of US Reciprocal Tariffs – Labor Market Brief, April 2025

April 10, 2025

Related Publications

trade war

BI Board of Governors Meeting, April 2025 – Macroeconomic Analysis Series

Indonesian MSMEs

MSME Resilience in the Face of COVID-19 and Beyond: A Meta-Analysis of Factors that Influence MSME Resilience

April inflation

Monthly Inflation, April 2025 : Macroeconomic Analysis Series

Positive SSL Wildcard