Institute for Research on Economics and Society – Faculty of Economics and Business – University of Indonesia

LPEM ECONOMIC QUARTERLY REPORT 2016 Q4

February 6, 2017

Consistent with predictions in the previous Economic Quarterly Report, we predict GDP growth in 2016 at the level of 5.1%, which is higher compared to last year's GDP growth. This is due to strong consumption growth amidst low inflation levels. However, GDP growth in 2016 may be lower than potential due to stagnant government spending due to budget cuts twice in the second semester of 2016 and lower tax revenues compared to the target.

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